Arizona Food Prices Down 1.5% in the Third Quarter of 2018

Arizona Food Prices Down 1.5% in the Third Quarter of 2018
Arizona Families should keep hunting for bargains to stretch their food dollars.

Arizona retail food prices at the supermarket were down in the third quarter of 2018, according to the latest Arizona Farm Bureau Federation Marketbasket Survey. The informal survey shows the total cost of 16 basic grocery items was $46.13, down $.77 or about 1.5 percent less than the second quarter of 2018 ($46.90).

Compared to Arizona’s September 2017 third quarter survey total of $48.50, the 2018 third quarter Marketbasket survey shows that Arizona’s food prices have decreased about 5 percent year-to-year.  

“The overall decrease in Arizona food prices is consistent with overall lower agriculture commodity prices,” said Arizona Farm Bureau’s Communication Director, Julie Murphree. “We continue to encourage Arizona families to keep hunting for those bargains in our basics like your meats, fruits, vegetables, dairy and eggs to stretch your food dollars.  Most meat is down in price, partly due to supply.  For example, beef supplies are up more than 3 percent.”

Of the 16 items surveyed in Arizona nine decreased, seven increased compared to the 2018 second quarter survey.  

In Arizona, off-the-shelf prices for sirloin roast showed the greatest decrease in price down 85 cents to $6.54 a pound; vegetable oil down 28 cents to $1.43 a 32-oz bottle; orange juice down 25 cents to $2.54 a half gallon; chicken down 23 cents to $2.87 a pound; shredded cheese down 20 cents to 4.36 a pound; toasted oat cereal down 12 cents to $3.17 a 8.9 -oz box; deli ham down 11 cents to $3.38 a pound; eggs down 5 cents to $1.83 a dozen and salad mix down 4 cents to $2.69 a pound.

“Remember Arizona Farm Bureau’s has searchable recipes, farmers’ markets and farm products,” said Murphree. “The website is now mobile friendly.  So, if you’re traveling around the state and want to hunt for a local weekend farmer’s market, go to using your smart phone or tablet.”

Potatoes showed the largest price increase up 37 cents to $2.61 a 5-pound bag. The other items that increased in price were ground chuck and bacon both up 30 cents to $3.27 a pound and $4.69 a pound respectively; milk up 16 cents to $2.15 a gallon; apples up 10 cents to $1.35 a pound; flour up 7 cents to $1.89 a 5-pound bag and white bread up 6 cents to $1.30 a 20-oz loaf.     

The year-to-year direction of the quarterly Marketbasket survey tracks with the federal government’s Consumer Price Index report for food at home.  

“In the mid-1970s, farmers received about one-third of consumer retail food expenditures for food eaten at home and away from home, on average. That figure has decreased steadily and is now just 16 percent, according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s revised Food Dollar Series Department statistics,” explains an American Farm Bureau Economist.   

Using the “food at home and away from home” percentage across-the-board, the Arizona farmer’s share of this quarter’s $46.13 Marketbasket total would be $7.38.

The Farm Bureau Market Basket Survey is unscientific but serves as a gauge of actual price trends across the state. Arizona’s bargain shoppers statewide should find individual items at prices comparable to the Farm Bureau survey averages and certainly cheaper with discounts and in-store specials. Arizona Farm Bureau seeks to identify the best in-store price, excluding promotional coupons and special deals.

    Arizona Farm Bureau's 18 Money Saving Tips to Stretch Your Food Dollars:

  1. Sort your pantry and organize to clearly know what's available. This should be a regular effort to make sure you're using everything you have, not buying unnecessary items and can determine what you really need.
  2. Create a week-long menu. From the planned menu create your shopping list based on local grocery store circulars you receive in the mail or newspaper.
  3. When planning your menu, think of ways to maximize the use of the "Stretch Your Food Dollar" menu as a springboard to create your own menu. Gather ideas for meals based on the items down in price from Arizona Farm Bureau's "Stretch Your Dollar" menus on Let the Farm Bureau's menus inspire your creativity!
  4. You've created the list; stick to it. If you can stick to your list, you'll curb impulse spending on items you don't really need.
  5. Don't shop on an empty stomach. Studies suggest you might spend 10 to 15 percent more on your food bill when you're hungry.
  6. Don't take the kids grocery shopping. As with an empty stomach, kids can influence your impulse shopping.
  7. Stick to the basics. While basic food items like dairy, meat, fruits and vegetables can sometimes seem expensive, you're gaining more value per unit and certainly more health benefits. The fewer processed food items you purchase, the more you'll save.
  8. Regularly survey the weekly grocery store circulars. This will build your knowledge of prices for products you regularly use and give you a sense of which grocery stores tend to have the lowest prices. Take advantage of weekly advertised specials, especially for nonperishable staples.
  9. Be wary of the coupon trap. Use coupons only for those items you normally buy. Don't let coupons cost you money by buying items you don't really need. A sale has no value to you if it means you're spending beyond your budget. Do take advantage of "ad-matching" since lots of savings can be found here.
  10. Assess the unit price. This shopping tool lets you compare prices between brands and between sizes. Located on a shelf tag in front of the product, it provides costs in like units for the item. Generally, information is given in cost per ounce, per pound or per count.
  11. Shop the edges of the store, and if items at the ends of the aisles reflect a super deal buy. As aisle-end items are dramatically marked down, they might be a valuable substitute on your grocery list. But they're budget busters if they become purchased food items you don't use in your food preparation.
  12. Use grocery store club cards; also compare prices to store brands. Store club cards can generate great savings. Plus, while you might love a certain brand, also compare a popular brand to the store brand for price comparisons and possible savings.
  13. Peak season is prime time to buy fresh produce. The peak of the harvest for fresh fruits and vegetables offers you the best prices and the best quality. Take advantage of this and buy often. To always know what's in season, go to and select the tab "Arizona Produce in Season."
  14. When not buying fresh, consider buying frozen. Most frozen vegetables are picked fresh, immediately flash frozen, are less expensive and will keep longer.
  15. Buy in bulk, but don't buy more than you will use. Bigger is not always better. Larger-sized packages usually cost less on a per-unit basis. But it's not a better buy if it's too large to use before it becomes stale or spoiled.
  16. Move in on "family pack" savings. Meat departments often have a section that offers larger-sized packages at cents-off-per-pound savings. Repackage these larger sizes into smaller quantities at home and freeze.
  17. Be flexible at the meat and produce counters. This is one area to be flexible with your list. This allows you to take advantage of unadvertised "in store" specials and switch from one item to another.
  18. Use open dating codes, especially on perishables to maximize shelf life at home. Open dating is used on perishable and semi-perishable products to let you know at a glance if the product is fresh. Most stores use a "pull date" - the last day the item is offered for sale. This still allows a few days for using at home. For stores that use a "pack date," especially with meats, inquire how long the product will remain fresh at home.